Four major commercial sectors can expect improvement
WASHINGTON -- May 13, 2005 -- The office, retail, industrial and multifamily commercial real estate markets can expect improvement over the next two years, according to a National Association of Realtors® (NAR) forecast. The announcement was presented Thursday at a commercial real estate forum during the NAR Midyear Legislative Meetings & Trade Expo.
David Lereah, NAR's chief economist, said there are pluses and minuses affecting the projection for the uptrend in the commercial market. "Corporate profits are strong, but business spending has been hesitant of late," he said. "On the other hand, jobs have been growing since the beginning of 2004."
Lereah added that some uncertainties could potentially impact commercial sectors. "The U.S. federal budget deficit poses a risk for the economy, as does the trade deficit and performance of the dollar," he said. Other concerns include high oil prices and the possibility of inflation.
So far this year, investment in office buildings has increased 30 percent over 2004, according to NAR, as ports and major distribution centers lead the industrial sector. Commercial lending is up, delinquencies are down, and construction levels have stabilized.
Office
Office vacancy rates have fallen along with slowing of new supply. The sector has benefited greatly from the growth in jobs, and rents are gaining traction, NAR said. "There's strong investor interest in the office market, both for real estate investment trusts [REITs] and foreign investors -- the strongest investment areas are in the West and Northeast," Lereah said.
Vacancy rates in the office sector should average 14.1 percent this year and 13.2 percent in 2006. Office rents are forecast to grow 2.3 percent in 2005 and 3.4 percent next year.
Net absorption of office space, which includes leasing of new space coming on the market as well as space in existing properties, is projected at 61 million square feet in 2005, and 56 million next year.
Retail
In the retail sector, merger activity continues while there's growth in retailers targeting the youth market. Rent gains are strong, as consumer spending growth is holding steady. Most new construction is in strip malls and power centers. "REITS also have been very active in the retail market, which offers the best long-term investment return," Lereah said.
The average retail vacancy rate is projected to average 6.3 percent this year and about the same during 2006; rent growth is forecast at 4.4 percent in 2005 and 4.0 percent next year. Net absorption of retail space is estimated at 34 million square feet in 2005, and 29 million next year.
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Originally Posted on 5/23/2005 9:37:27 AMContent source: http://www.hansenhomesaventura.com/blogmiamirealestate/archives/2005/05/four_major_comm.html
David Lereah, NAR's chief economist, said there are pluses and minuses affecting the projection for the uptrend in the commercial market. "Corporate profits are strong, but business spending has been hesitant of late," he said. "On the other hand, jobs have been growing since the beginning of 2004."
Lereah added that some uncertainties could potentially impact commercial sectors. "The U.S. federal budget deficit poses a risk for the economy, as does the trade deficit and performance of the dollar," he said. Other concerns include high oil prices and the possibility of inflation.
So far this year, investment in office buildings has increased 30 percent over 2004, according to NAR, as ports and major distribution centers lead the industrial sector. Commercial lending is up, delinquencies are down, and construction levels have stabilized.
Office
Office vacancy rates have fallen along with slowing of new supply. The sector has benefited greatly from the growth in jobs, and rents are gaining traction, NAR said. "There's strong investor interest in the office market, both for real estate investment trusts [REITs] and foreign investors -- the strongest investment areas are in the West and Northeast," Lereah said.
Vacancy rates in the office sector should average 14.1 percent this year and 13.2 percent in 2006. Office rents are forecast to grow 2.3 percent in 2005 and 3.4 percent next year.
Net absorption of office space, which includes leasing of new space coming on the market as well as space in existing properties, is projected at 61 million square feet in 2005, and 56 million next year.
Retail
In the retail sector, merger activity continues while there's growth in retailers targeting the youth market. Rent gains are strong, as consumer spending growth is holding steady. Most new construction is in strip malls and power centers. "REITS also have been very active in the retail market, which offers the best long-term investment return," Lereah said.
The average retail vacancy rate is projected to average 6.3 percent this year and about the same during 2006; rent growth is forecast at 4.4 percent in 2005 and 4.0 percent next year. Net absorption of retail space is estimated at 34 million square feet in 2005, and 29 million next year.
Miami Real Estate more...
FSBO Real Estate
Originally Posted on 5/23/2005 9:37:27 AMContent source: http://www.hansenhomesaventura.com/blogmiamirealestate/archives/2005/05/four_major_comm.html
posted by charttrader @ 7:37 AM
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